We investigate the sensitivity of atmospheric predictability to the slope of the background kinetic energy spectrum E by adding initial errors to simulations of idealized moist mid-latitude cyclones at several wavenumbers k for which the slope of E(k) is significantly different. These different slopes arise from 1) differences in the E(k) generated by cyclones growing in two different moist baroclinically unstable environments, and 2) differences in the horizontal scale at which initial perturbations are added, with E(k) having steeper slopes at larger scales. When small-amplitude potential temperature perturbations are added, the error growth through the subsequent 36-hour simulation is not sensitive to the slope of E(k) nor to the horizon...
The vertical wind shear measured between 200 and 850 hPa is commonly used to diagnose environmental ...
Progress in numerical weather prediction (NWP) is made through better understand¬ing of the physical...
The very first numerical models which were developed more than 20 years ago were drastic simplificat...
Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2021The sensitivity of atmospheric predictability to th...
We use convection-permitting idealized simulations of moist midlatitude cyclones to compare the grow...
Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2017-03Recent work has suggested that large-scale (O(10...
Global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have begun to resolve the mesoscale k^(-5/3) range ...
The spectral turbulence model of Lorenz, as modified for surface quasigeostrophic dynamics by Rotunn...
The main goal of this work is to quantify the predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity. Mot...
The spectral predictability of the Met Office's Unified Model is examined using identical-twin exper...
In a previous study by the authors, it was shown that the problematic numerical prediction of the 24...
Studying dynamical mechanisms of perturbation growth in tropical cyclones is important from a perspe...
The role of moist processes in short-range forecasts of Indian Ocean tropical cyclones (TCs) track a...
The chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics presents a central challenge to the accurate prediction ...
In the preceding studies by many authors, in particular they found that moist processes were respons...
The vertical wind shear measured between 200 and 850 hPa is commonly used to diagnose environmental ...
Progress in numerical weather prediction (NWP) is made through better understand¬ing of the physical...
The very first numerical models which were developed more than 20 years ago were drastic simplificat...
Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2021The sensitivity of atmospheric predictability to th...
We use convection-permitting idealized simulations of moist midlatitude cyclones to compare the grow...
Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2017-03Recent work has suggested that large-scale (O(10...
Global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have begun to resolve the mesoscale k^(-5/3) range ...
The spectral turbulence model of Lorenz, as modified for surface quasigeostrophic dynamics by Rotunn...
The main goal of this work is to quantify the predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity. Mot...
The spectral predictability of the Met Office's Unified Model is examined using identical-twin exper...
In a previous study by the authors, it was shown that the problematic numerical prediction of the 24...
Studying dynamical mechanisms of perturbation growth in tropical cyclones is important from a perspe...
The role of moist processes in short-range forecasts of Indian Ocean tropical cyclones (TCs) track a...
The chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics presents a central challenge to the accurate prediction ...
In the preceding studies by many authors, in particular they found that moist processes were respons...
The vertical wind shear measured between 200 and 850 hPa is commonly used to diagnose environmental ...
Progress in numerical weather prediction (NWP) is made through better understand¬ing of the physical...
The very first numerical models which were developed more than 20 years ago were drastic simplificat...